NFL picks, week 3

because I gamble?



Detroit (+6.5) over EAGLES
Our quest for 14-2 will begin with a 6 point victory?

Colts (-6) over TEXANS
When you lose your best player (Andre Johnson) and are playing a top-2 team in the league I’m not picking you.

San Diego (-5) over BRETT FARVE
The Pack have looked good so far, but they don’t even have a mediocre running back and we often forget that the AFC is WAY better than the NFC, this one isn’t going to be close.

MINNY (+2.5) over Kansas city
hey look, I’m ignoring my “always bet on the AFC” maxim I made just one (1) sentence ago! Needless to say I’m going to lose this one

Buffalo (+16.5) over THE CHEATERS
16 and a half? Dear god, no one should be able to cheat that well

STEELERS (-9) over 49ers
Pittsburgh has been demolishing bad teams and despite their 2-0 record the 9ers fit that bill.

TAMPA (-3.5) over DRex’s Rams
The Rams blow.

NYJ (-3) over Miami
Not sure where I read or heard this but recently I came across the realization that Miami has two players on their roster who give you a distinct advantage at their position – Jason Taylor and Zach Thomas – both of these guys were brought in by Jimmy Johnson, four full regimes ago. My takeaway from this isn’t just that Miami stinks, but also that if their 3-22 guys aren’t any good, that lack of scouting/player development probably runs through 23-52 as well. I’ll suffer the 3.

B-MORE (-8) over Arizona
I read that Baltimore has the best tailgating scene in THE WORLD! Also, Pro Football Talk mentioned this week that Larry Fitzgerald wants out of Zona because Wiesenhut’s offense doesn’t suit him. This isn’t important because he’s actually going to leave, or even because he’s disgruntled as a player, but rather because when a new coach manages to push away one of his star players a mere two weeks into his first stint as the head man, well, it makes you think that maybe Tomlin was the right hire after all.
Also, this game strikes me as relevant because of the STD factor. When driving through Baltimore we have a long-standing policy of rolling up the windows of whatever car we’re driving at the moment so not to catch the hiv (which one can only assume is airborne in that city). Now they’re bringing Mr. STD, Matt Leinhart himself in? Could get brutal.

Cincy (+3) over SEATTLE
AFC/NFC thing … plus I read that seattle has the worst tailgaiting in the league (same article), which makes me dislike their team and bet against them

SKINS (-3.5) over The New York Football Giants
Normally when a hard-nosed coach loses a team it becomes quickly obvious and they get rid of him. Tom Coughlin however lost the giants literally years ago (when he changed “5 minutes early is on time” to ”ten minutes early is on time” immediately following their 2005 playoff year where they exceeded all expectations and all you started hearing stories about how all the veterans hate him), drove away his best player (Tiki), and doesn’t even produce winning teams anymore, how he still has a job makes no sense.
That said, trap game, never bet within the NFC east.

RAIDERS (-3) over Browns
Cleveland just shot their load, you can bet the house Oakland isn’t giving up 51 points.

Jaguars (+3) over BRONCOS
Denver is two field goals away from 0-2, Jacksonville is going to be afraid of the Champ and Dre Bly (rightly so) and keep it on the ground, which plays to their talent (Taylor, Jones-Drew, and even Garrard). Jags win, and I’m taking the under (whatever it is).

Carolina (-4) over ATL
Julius Peppers may well personally start the Byron Leftwich era if Joey Harrington hangs onto the ball like he did last week, that young man is bad.

CHI (-3) over Cowboys
Chicago’s tampa two v. TO scares me because they play their corners L/R as opposed to matched up, but I believe that Romo is going to prove to be as shaky as Grossman before everything is said and done

Tennessee (-4.5) over NO
I know its crazy to bet against an 0-2 team playing their home opener in front of an amped up home crowd, but VY just does nothing but win, and I can’t get that fact out of my head.